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Home / Insights / Zambia's Carbon Credit Gold Rush: How Businesses C...
Business Advisory 18 April 2026 5 min read

Zambia's Carbon Credit Gold Rush: How Businesses Can Generate Revenue from the New Carbon Feed-In Premium Programme

M&J Consultants M&J Consultants
Zambia's Carbon Credit Gold Rush: How Businesses Can Generate Revenue from the New Carbon Feed-In Premium Programme

On 1 April 2026, Zambia opened a new frontier in African climate finance. The government, in partnership with Norway, launched the Carbon Feed-In Premium (CFIP) programme, a results-based mechanism that will pay independent power producers for the greenhouse gas emissions they prevent. The first tender window targets up to 300 megawatts of grid-connected solar capacity, and the application window closes on 31 May 2026. This is not a pilot study or a feasibility exercise. It is a live, funded, and time-bound opportunity for energy developers to layer carbon revenue on top of traditional electricity sales.

The CFIP programme is the first operational deployment of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement on African soil. For years, Article 6 has been discussed in conference halls and working papers. Zambia and Norway have now moved it into the real world. The mechanism allows countries to cooperate voluntarily to achieve their emission reduction targets. Zambia hosts mitigation activities—in this case, solar projects that displace fossil fuel generation—and Norway purchases the resulting emission reductions, known as Internationally Transferred Mitigation Outcomes (ITMOs).

The commercial logic is compelling. A solar developer in Zambia already earns revenue from selling electricity to ZESCO under a power purchase agreement. The CFIP adds a second, independent revenue stream. Norway commits to purchasing the verified emission reductions at a fixed price for a minimum of ten years. That carbon revenue is not tied to electricity market fluctuations. It is a predictable, long-term payment that can transform a marginal project into a bankable one.

The numbers illustrate the scale. The programme is expected to add up to 300 megawatts of green electricity to Zambia’s national grid and reduce up to 3.5 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent over a ten-year period. For a developer, the carbon payment supplements the electricity tariff and can be the difference between a project that reaches financial close and one that stalls.

To qualify for this first CFIP window, projects must meet specific criteria. The planned installed capacity must range from 30 megawatts to 100 megawatts. Every project must include an on-site battery energy storage system with a minimum duration of 30 minutes. This storage requirement is not optional; it is designed to deliver partial firm power and reduce reliance on coal-based generation during periods when solar output is low. At least fifty percent of the electricity generated must be sold to ZESCO or its subsidiaries.

The programme is not open to projects that are already under construction. Projects must be at an advanced development stage without having committed significant capital expenditure. This means feasibility studies must be complete, land must be secured, an investor licence from the Zambia Development Agency must be obtained, topographic studies must be conducted, and environmental clearance from the Zambia Environmental Management Agency must be received. A signed power purchase agreement with ZESCO must be in place or in advanced negotiation. The CFIP is designed to push ready projects over the financing finish line, not to fund early-stage exploration.

The selection process follows a defined timeline. Developers have a two-month window to submit proposals, with a final deadline of 31 May 2026. An online information event was scheduled for 14 April 2026. Proposals will be evaluated by the CFIP Steering Committee, and shortlisted projects will undergo due diligence. Final selection results are expected by the end of June 2026. Successful developers will enter into a standardized CFIP Renewable Energy Project Contract with Zambia National Commercial Bank, which has been appointed as Fund Manager and Financial Trustee for the programme.

A critical contractual obligation accompanies the carbon revenue. Developers must transfer all rights related to emission reductions generated by the project to the CFIP. They are not permitted to participate in any other carbon or renewable energy certification scheme for the same project. This exclusivity is the price of accessing Norway’s guaranteed offtake. For a project that secures a CFIP contract, the carbon revenue stream is locked in and ring-fenced.

The programme builds on years of methodical preparation. Zambia signed its first bilateral agreement with Norway for Article 6 cooperative approaches at COP29 in November 2024. On 28 January 2026, the two governments signed the Mitigation Outcome Purchase Agreement (MOPA) that formally launched the CFIP. The MOPA is a policy-based programme eligible under Article 6 that will pay eligible power plant developers a carbon reduction premium on a results-based basis. Payments are tied to independently verified greenhouse gas reductions associated with renewable power delivered to Zambia’s grid.

The timing is strategic. Zambia has historically depended on hydropower, which accounted for roughly 82% of its generation capacity in 2024, but prolonged droughts have exposed the grid’s vulnerability and prompted urgent interest in diversified renewable sources. The CFIP arrives at a moment when the economic and climatic case for solar-plus-storage has never been stronger.

The legal and regulatory foundation for carbon trading in Zambia is now firmly in place. The Green Economy and Climate Change Act No. 18 of 2024 provides the legislative framework to regulate carbon markets, establish environmental and social safeguards, and domesticate the Paris Agreement. The Act enables companies to generate and trade carbon credits and promotes emission reduction projects across agriculture, energy, and forestry. In 2025, Zambia published its Carbon Market Framework, which provides clear eligibility criteria for project development and procedures for carbon trading, monitoring, and reporting.

Beyond the CFIP, the broader climate finance ecosystem in Zambia is maturing rapidly. The Bank of Zambia has issued green finance guidelines and a green loan supervisory manual to help commercial banks assess climate-related risks and structure green lending. In March 2026, Zambia launched its Climate Finance Unit, tasked with coordinating the mobilization, allocation, and tracking of climate investments across priority sectors. These institutional developments signal that carbon markets are not a one-off initiative but a permanent feature of Zambia’s economic landscape.

For businesses, the CFIP programme is not merely a grant scheme or a subsidy. It is a market mechanism that rewards genuine emission reductions. Projects must calculate estimated emission reductions using Zambia’s grid emission factor of 0.4 tonnes of carbon dioxide per megawatt-hour. Charging of battery storage from non-renewable sources is prohibited. Verification is conducted by independent third parties, and payments are performance-based. The integrity of the system is central to its long-term viability.

The CFIP is also a signal to the global carbon market. Zambia is demonstrating that Article 6 can move from treaty text to bankable transactions. The country has also signed bilateral agreements with Sweden and Switzerland, and the pipeline of future carbon credit opportunities is likely to expand. Developers who participate in this first window will gain experience and relationships that position them for subsequent rounds and for other carbon market mechanisms as they emerge.

Conclusion

The application window is open now. The deadline of 31 May 2026 is fixed. Developers who have been waiting for the right moment to advance their Zambian solar projects have found it. The carbon credit gold rush in Zambia is not a speculative frenzy. It is a structured, government-backed, internationally funded programme that rewards those who move first. The opportunity is clear, the timeline is short, and the economic logic is compelling. The question for energy developers is not whether the CFIP works. It is whether they will be among those who secure a place in this first wave of Africa’s Article 6 reality.

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